PRIVATE ALPHA · v1.25

BioConviction

FATE Decision Room · evidence before conviction

Conference Intelligence · evidence change engine

Primary-source facts are now stored as comparable evidence states. When future disclosures change patient counts, dose, conditioning, follow-up, efficacy, safety, or thesis confidence, BioConviction explains what changed and whether the tracked thesis strengthened, weakened, or simply changed.

Probability & Scenario Engine

Building auditable model estimates…

Catalyst Map

Building catalyst priorities…

Program Intelligence

Resolving evidence to canonical FATE programs…

Decision Room

Building decision summary…

Source health

Approved thesis assumptions

Detected trial evidence

Conference Intelligence

Highest-significance FATE scientific items first. Every interpretation is explicitly labeled by inference level so title-level evidence is not mistaken for full-data review.

Recent FATE IR releases

Recent SEC artifacts

Historical Replay Lab

CHRONOLOGICAL · NO LOOKAHEAD · EVIDENCE ENGINE VALIDATION

Replays stored historical evidence in the order it became available and recomputes deltas without consulting future artifacts.

Historical source tools ready.
Loading authoritative-source diagnostics…
Loading reconstruction diagnostics…
Replaying historical evidence…

Internal Model Governance

COMMERCIAL ASSUMPTION & DOUBLE-COUNTING AUDIT

Internal materiality engine. This section is not a customer-facing price target.

Auditing commercial assumptions…

Evidence → Valuation Bridge

CALIBRATED EVIDENCE → PoS → rNPV → EQUITY VALUE

Missing evidence now reduces reliability instead of automatically being treated as negative evidence.

Loading calibrated evidence-linked valuation…

Valuation Foundation

SOURCE-BACKED FINANCIALS · AUDITABLE · NOT A PRICE TARGET

Filed FATE financials are separated from explicit commercial assumptions so sourced facts cannot be mistaken for model judgment.

Loading source-backed financials…
Loading valuation engine…